Model accuracy

Did the model get it right?

Rolling hit-rates, by tier and by sector. Numbers without ego, including the misses.

Overall hit rate

71%

+2.4 vs 30d

HIGH tier

84%

+1.1 vs 30d

MED tier

63%

−0.7 vs 30d

Win streak

4 days

best: 11 days

Rolling accuracy7d30d90d

Accuracy by sectorlast 30 sessions

Energy78%

Financials74%

Materials71%

Retail69%

Telecom64%

Transport58%

Consumer staples53%

Confidence distributionlast 90 picks

Model timelineIn build

v3.2.123 May 2026+1.4%

Deployed · sector weight rebalance

v3.2.008 May 2026+0.6%

Deployed · macro feature added

v3.1.422 Apr 2026+0.2%

Hotfix · stale price filter

v3.1.001 Apr 2026+2.1%

Deployed · regime detector rebuild

v3.0.012 Mar 2026+3.6%

Deployed · architecture migration